- 10 movies were nominated for best picture at the 95th Academy Awards.
- Frontrunners “Everything Everywhere All at Once” has 11 nods and “The Banshees of Inisherin” has 9.
- We ranked the nominees in order of how likely they are to win the top prize on March 12.
10. “Triangle of Sadness”
Oscar nominations: 3
Best picture, best director (Ruben Östlund), best original screenplay.
What it’s about: A group of super-rich snobs has an adventure at sea aboard a doomed cruise.
Can it win? It’s a long shot.
After his last movie “The Square” was nominated for best foreign language film in 2018, acclaimed Swedish director Ruben Östlund gets major recognition this time around as his latest dark comedy scored him nominations for directing, screenwriting, and best picture.
But nomination love is all he’s going to get. For many, the inclusion of “Triangle of Sadness” in the best picture category was a shock. So in many ways, the nomination was the win.
9. “All Quiet on the Western Front”
Oscar nominations: 9
Best picture, best international feature, best cinematography, best makeup and hairstyling, best original score, best production design, best sound, best visual effects, best adapted screenplay.
What it’s about: The latest adaptation of Erich Maria Remarque’s 1929 novel follows the life of an idealistic young soldier during World War I.
Can it win? History is not on its side.
Despite the movie being praised for its realistic look at war and being true to Remarque’s book, it has an uphill battle to win best picture.
First, outside of the win by “Parasite” in 2020, no non-English language film has ever won best picture. Second, the 1930 version of “All Quiet on the Western Front” is considered one of the greatest movies of all time. It was the first-ever war movie to win the best picture Oscar (which was called outstanding production at the time). Many traditionalist Academy voters will put that into consideration.
But expect this one to take home the Oscar for best international feature.
8. “Women Talking”
Oscar nominations: 2
Best picture, best adapted screenplay.
What it’s about: A group of women in an isolated religious colony is at a crossroads after a series of sexual assaults.
Can it win? It’s unlikely.
The acclaimed movie written and directed by Sarah Polley was not a lock for a best picture nomination. Despite it not being a frontrunner, the nomination will get more people to see this powerful movie.
7. “Avatar: The Way of Water”
Oscar nominations: 4
Best picture, best production design, best sound, best visual effects.
What it’s about: The sequel to the 2009 original follows Jake Sully and Neytiri as they move their family to the reefs of Pandora to escape the human colonizers.
Can it win? Don’t bet on it.
Though James Cameron’s blockbuster has become a box-office sensation like its predecessor, it won’t have a storybook ending with a best picture win. The competition is too tough this year.
6. “Top Gun: Maverick”
Oscar nominations: 6
Best picture, best sound, best visual effects, best adapted screenplay, best editing, best original song.
What it’s about: Over 30 years after becoming a hot-shot pilot in the Top Gun program, Pete “Maverick” Mitchell returns to teach the new breed how to fly a dangerous mission.
Can it win? It’s not looking good.
Listen, it’s still a shock that the sequel is better than the original. Nabbing a nomination for best picture is just icing on the cake for Tom Cruise and Paramount.
Oscar nominations: 6
Best picture, best actress (Cate Blanchett), best director (Todd Field), best original screenplay, best cinematography, best editing.
What it’s about: Days away from conducting a career-defining symphony, composer Lydia Tár is embroiled in a scandal that changes her life.
Can it win? It would be a shocker.
Despite being one of the most critically beloved movies of 2022, it’s more likely that we’ll see Blanchett win the best actress Oscar as opposed to the movie getting best picture. And it’s not a guarantee that Blanchett will win either (hi “Everything Everywhere All At One” star Michelle Yeoh).
Oscar nominations: 8
Best picture, best actor (Austin Butler), best cinematography, best costume design, best editing, best makeup and hairstyling, best production design, best sound.
What it’s about: The life and times of Elvis Presley.
Can it win? Another long shot.
This was one of our favorite movies of 2022. We would love to see it shock the world and win the Oscar, but the night is going to be more likely a celebration of Austin Butler’s win for playing the King (if he can surpass “The Whale” star Brendan Fraser).
3. “The Fabelmans”
Oscar nominations: 7
Best picture, best supporting actress (Michelle Williams), best supporting actor (Judd Hirsch), best director (Steven Spielberg), best production design, best original screenplay, best original score.
What it’s about: A semi-autobiographical look at the childhood of Steven Spielberg.
Can it win? Yes, potentially. If any movie can pull off an upset win on Oscars night, it’s “The Fabelmans.”
Fueled by the talents (and clout) of Spielberg, there are definitely going to be some Academy voters who are going to go all-in on this movie.
The question is, will there be enough support to surpass the frontrunners?
2. “The Banshees of Inisherin”
Oscar nominations: 9
Best picture, best lead actor (Colin Farrell), best supporting actor (Brendan Gleeson), best supporting actor (Barry Keoghan), best supporting actress (Kerry Condon), best director (Martin McDonagh), best original screenplay, best editing, best original score.
What it’s about: Set on a secluded island off the coast of Ireland, Pádraic is devastated when his closest friend Colm suddenly ends their friendship.
Can it win? Yes, yes it can.
With 9 nominations, this dark comedy has become a frontrunner to win big on Oscar night.
The talents of writer-director Martin McDonagh, stars Colin Farrell and Brendan Gleeson, and supporting cast members Kerry Condon and Barry Keoghan are all on full display, making it deserving of the trophies it’ll likely take home on March 12.
1. “Everything Everywhere All at Once”
Oscar nominations: 11
Best picture, best actress (Michelle Yeoh), best supporting actress (Jamie Lee Curtis), best supporting actress (Stephanie Hsu), best supporting actor (Ke Huy Quan), best directing (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert), best film editing, best costume design, best original score, best original song, best original screenplay.
What it’s about: Chinese immigrant Evelyn must embark on a mind-tripping trek through the multiverse to save the world.
Can it win? Definitely.
Topping all other movies at this year’s Oscars with 11 nominations, this universally praised movie is the odds-on favorite to win best picture. And we are all for it.
From the unique talents of directors Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (known collectively as the Daniels), to beloved distributor A24 getting some Oscar love, to star Michelle Yeoh’s amazing performance, this movie is set for a special night.
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